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I Smell a Crash...

1/14/2016

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I think this has been the longest, most volatile topping process in history.
October 2014 was the biggest rally in 100years, that almost took me out.
Then we had the August 2015 Crash.
Then the October 2015 rally was just as big the prior years, that messed me up too.
Finally it's happening. I have been spot-on right about everything this entire time.
Truly Incredible how long it's taken.
It has been an interesting spectacle watching sentiment slowly begin to turn as flocks of sheep get blown out of their high-beta momentum plays.
I wonder how it's all going to go down...
This has been the biggest bubble in history & I speculate that the fallout will be immense when all is said and done..
The Fed screwed everything up. The Zero Interest Rates, the Quantitative Easing...
Richard Fisher, Former Dallas Fed President spilled the beans the other day & admitted everything about how the Fed  'front-loaded a tremendous market rally. In order to accomplish the wealth effect'
Seemingly every market participant is expecting a massive bounce. What these people don't understand is they already got two huge bounces. This has been one of the longest topping processes in history.
The top is in. Bull markets don't end with a whimper. They end with a crash. 
The pain trade is lower. The intraday moves serve one purpose: attempt to shake you out of the correct trade.
The correct trade is ignoring the intraday chop. Do not fall for the fleeting counter-trend rallies.
Stay short equities.
A Devastating Crash is Coming soon...
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    R. J. Sullivan IV

    Equity Research
    Portfolio Management
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