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What in the World?

9/6/2018

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What in the world is going on?
There is a great divergence between American and Emerging Markets.
Something happened in January 2018.
American market euphoria continues, while Emerging markets bleed.

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The question is, who’s bluffing?
Will EEM snap back and play catch-up or will the S&P eventually succumb to global forces?
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The QE Bubble has been relentless, incredible, one for the history books.
Valuations are stretched. Interest Rates are rising.
A swift unwind seems inevitable. Yet, timing remains impossible.


My strategy of holding a portfolio of heavily-diversified, value oriented, high dividend paying securities still seems like the necessary core.


The temptation remains to gun down these insane bubble tech queens…
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TSLA will most assuredly crumble in time.. However, I’ve been burned with shorts and derivatives so many times, it’s hard for me to want to risk anything…


So do we stick with what we know works and grind out the dividend strategy, or do we gun it for the fast money?
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The market's getting weird.
Interest Rates are going to affect the economy sooner or later.
Rates are already beginning to hit median housing prices in the United States.
The public at large has an unduly large amount of their wealth tied up in real-estate.
Real-Estate prices have been bid-up to insanity levels. Almost no young-adult can afford to buy a house and lord knows there has been a builder feeding frenzy in commercial real estate / multi-family housing for years. At some point demand will be fully-saturated and the pendulum/price trajectory will tip.
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As always, Timing.
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    R. J. Sullivan IV

    Equity Research
    Portfolio Management
    ​Trading

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